By The recent visit of the Indian Navy submarine INS Karanj to Sri Lanka, following the denial of port access to a Chinese submarine and research vessel, underscores the complex geopolitical landscape in the Bay of Bengal. While this diplomatic victory for India may alleviate immediate concerns, the regional dynamics are evolving as China advances its naval presence in Bangladesh, posing new challenges to India’s maritime interests.
Indian Diplomatic Triumph:
Sri Lanka’s decision to welcome INS Karanj stands as a diplomatic triumph for India, reaffirming its influence in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR). The year-long moratorium on foreign research vessels, imposed by Sri Lanka, aligns with India’s strategic goals, curbing Chinese activities that raise security concerns, especially regarding submarine movements.
Chinese Presence in Bangladesh:
As India navigates the intricate geopolitics of the Bay of Bengal, China’s strategic moves in Bangladesh demand attention. The construction of the BNS Sheikh Hasina Naval Base and the provision of two Chinese submarines to Bangladesh exemplify China’s expanding “submarine diplomacy” in India’s backyard. The base’s capacity to dock six submarines and eight warships signals a significant military foothold for China in the Bay of Bengal.
Strategic Implications:
The presence of Chinese submarines and naval infrastructure near India’s Eastern Naval Command raises strategic concerns. The Bay of Bengal, a crucial maritime corridor, witnesses half of the world’s trade, making it a geopolitical hotspot. India’s proactive engagement with neighbouring nations becomes imperative to counterbalance China’s influence and ensure regional stability.
Challenges Ahead:
While the Indian Navy’s successful port call in Sri Lanka strengthens its regional standing, the challenges persist. The Maldives’ decision to allow a Chinese research vessel, coupled with Sri Lanka’s historical ties with China through the Hambantota Port lease, highlights the intricate web of diplomatic relations India must navigate.
Emerging Challenges:
As China consolidates its presence through the BNS Sheikh Hasina Naval Base, India must proactively foster alliances and maintain a vigilant naval posture to secure its dominance in the Bay of Bengal. The INS Karanj’s visit to Sri Lanka may be a diplomatic win, but sustained efforts are crucial to counter the emerging challenges posed by China’s expanding influence in the Indian Ocean.
